Within neighborhood
88
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013318800 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,740 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 04013318800 covers part of the Tempe Junction area of Tempe, AZ, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,740 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units3,748
Renter share85.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$62,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tempe and the region
Centroid at 33.4298, -111.9560 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tempe Junction scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,561 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5
How Tempe Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,217Total filings over 5 yrs
- 25.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.0%Peak (2003)
- 637Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tempe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tempe Junction
This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.9 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Court records carry 3,217 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $1,561 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Tempe commands. The worst year on record was 2003, when 29.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 25.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013318800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013318800?
Census tract 04013318800 in the Tempe Junction neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013318800?
Median gross rent is $1,561/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013318800?
24.7% of residents in tract 04013318800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,740.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013318800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 4th, minority 69th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 04013318800 considered part of Tempe Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013318800 fall within Tempe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013318800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,217 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013318800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.71% of renter households, peaking at 29.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013318800 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013318800 compare to Tempe overall?
Tract 04013318800 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tempe
Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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