Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Annualized rent equals 59% of average household income of $26,995, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,338, 23% below the Tempe average.

Food insecurity runs 29.1% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 613 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 12.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.