Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Marana Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004438 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,558

Marana in Pima County anchors census tract 04019004438, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #34,762 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,460 monthly, set against $102,700 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 5% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units1,238

Renter share10.7%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate10.7%

Median income$102,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Marana and the region

Centroid at 32.3759, -111.1262 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marana scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Marana

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

10.7% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,460 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Marana

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Marana

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Marana

3.8

How Marana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.8%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
8.8%Food insecurity
6.1%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
26.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marana

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Marana eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004438

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004438?

Census tract 04019004438 in Marana scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04019004438?

Median gross rent is $1,460/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004438?

10.7% of residents in tract 04019004438 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,558.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004438?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 62th, minority 64th, housing 6th.

What share of households in tract 04019004438 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04019004438 compare to Marana overall?

Tract 04019004438 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Marana at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Marana

Top eight tracts in Marana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.