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Neighborhood · Apache Junction, AZ

Apache Dream Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,076 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Apache Dream is a one-tract neighborhood of Apache Junction, AZ and houses 4,076 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 66% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Apache Junction rate of 32.3%.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10.

At $951 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Apache Junction commands. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

That places it #6 of 11 neighborhoods in Apache Junction. At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cimmarron and Palm Springs.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 4.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Apache Dream vs Apache Junction How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
66.0% +104%
Apache Junction: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$951 -17%
Apache Junction: $1,146
Average HH income
$61,414 +5%
Apache Junction: $58,619
Poverty rate
11.1% +1%
Apache Junction: 11.0%
Renter share
19.0% -9%
Apache Junction: 21.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Apache Dream and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Apache Dream scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Apache Dream vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Apache Dream score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Apache Dream: 4.14.1Apache DreamNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Apache Dream

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04021000312 4.1 4,076 66% $951
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Apache Dream

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Apache Dream

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Apache Dream?

Apache Dream scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Apache Dream compare to Apache Junction overall?

Apache Dream scores 0.5 points higher than Apache Junction overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $951 vs $1,146.
Q3

What is the average rent in Apache Dream?

Average gross rent in Apache Dream is $951/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Apache Dream residents are renters?

19% of Apache Dream households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Apache Junction). The neighborhood has 4,076 residents.
Q5

Is Apache Dream a high social-vulnerability area?

Apache Dream sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Apache Dream for landlords?

Apache Dream carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Apache Junction as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Apache Dream?

Apache Dream has 4,260 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.2%), Hispanic / Latino (24%), Other / Multiracial (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Apache Dream

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Apache Junction

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Apache Dream.

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