Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Arizona Grande Eviction Risk: Lower , Apache Junction

Tract 04021000313 · Pinal, AZ · pop 4,020 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 04021000313 in the Arizona Grande area of Apache Junction, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,020. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 14% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 8% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,948
Renter share9.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$69,342

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Arizona Grande
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 15 tracts In Apache Junction
Very Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#55 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#897 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region

Centroid at 33.4006, -111.5720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arizona Grande scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apache Junction
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$827 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apache Junction
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apache Junction
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apache Junction
6.5

How Arizona Grande compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arizona Grande risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 000313Apache Junction: 3.63.6Apache Junctionparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arizona Grande. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arizona Grande

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

At $827 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Apache Junction commands. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $69,342, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000313

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000313?

Census tract 04021000313 in the Arizona Grande neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000313?

Median gross rent is $827/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000313?

6.2% of residents in tract 04021000313 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,020.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000313?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 63th, minority 44th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 04021000313 considered part of Arizona Grande?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000313 fall within Arizona Grande (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021000313 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021000313 compare to Apache Junction overall?

Tract 04021000313 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Apache Junction at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction

Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related