Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Arizona Grande Eviction Risk: Lower , Apache Junction
Tract 04021000317 · Pinal, AZ · pop 2,353 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
04021000317 is a census tract in the Arizona Grande area of Apache Junction, AZ. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,353. 10% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Pinal County average of 37.6%.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,284
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$52,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apache Junction and the region
Centroid at 33.3863, -111.5655 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arizona Grande scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Apache Junction
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,542 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apache Junction
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apache Junction
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apache Junction
6.5
How Arizona Grande compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arizona Grande. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arizona Grande
Average gross rent is $1,542, 35% above the Apache Junction average. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $52,083, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.7/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021000317
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000317?
Census tract 04021000317 in the Arizona Grande neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021000317?
Median gross rent is $1,542/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000317?
6.7% of residents in tract 04021000317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,353.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000317?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 63th, minority 19th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 04021000317 considered part of Arizona Grande?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000317 fall within Arizona Grande (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021000317 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021000317 compare to Apache Junction overall?
Tract 04021000317 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Apache Junction at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apache Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apache Junction
Top eight tracts in Apache Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Superstition Lookout
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Sleets
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Camberley Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Casa Del Camino
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carefree Manor
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Apache Dream
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sunrise Canyon
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Cimmarron
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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