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Neighborhood · Yuma, AZ

Valle Sereno Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,441 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3–3.7

Valle Sereno takes in 2 census tracts of Yuma, AZ, population 9,441. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Yuma baseline of 30.9%, 59% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $1,529 a month, rents sit 37% over what the rest of Yuma commands. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 20.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 3/10.

The voucher gap is 11.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Yuma, it ranks #11 by risk, the middle third.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Old World Village and Edenwood West. Against average income of $98,237, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Valle Sereno vs Yuma How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.3% +92%
Yuma: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,529 +37%
Yuma: $1,114
Average HH income
$98,237 +57%
Yuma: $62,546
Poverty rate
16.5% +8%
Yuma: 15.3%
Renter share
19.1% -43%
Yuma: 33.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valle Sereno and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.7

Why Valle Sereno scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
16.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.3 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–7.3 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

Valle Sereno vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valle Sereno score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Valle Sereno: 3.43.4Valle SerenoNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Valle Sereno

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04027000909 3.7 6,016 61% $1,436
04027000903 3 3,425 56% $1,692
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valle Sereno

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valle Sereno

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valle Sereno?

Valle Sereno scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valle Sereno compare to Yuma overall?

Valle Sereno scores 0.0 points higher than Yuma overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,529 vs $1,114.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valle Sereno?

Average gross rent in Valle Sereno is $1,529/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valle Sereno residents are renters?

19% of Valle Sereno households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Yuma). The neighborhood has 9,441 residents.
Q5

Is Valle Sereno a high social-vulnerability area?

Valle Sereno sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Valle Sereno have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valle Sereno is census tract 04027000909 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Valle Sereno for landlords?

Valle Sereno carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Yuma as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Valle Sereno?

Valle Sereno has 9,555 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (76.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valle Sereno

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Yuma

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valle Sereno.

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