Neighborhood · Yuma, AZ

Valle Sereno Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,441 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.1–5.1

Valle Sereno is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Yuma with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,441 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 1% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,529/month sits 37% higher than the Yuma citywide average ($1,114).

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Valle Sereno vs Yuma How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

59.3% +92%

Yuma: 30.9%

Average gross rent

$1,529 +37%

Yuma: $1,114

Average HH income

$98,237 +57%

Yuma: $62,546

Poverty rate

16.5% +8%

Yuma: 15.3%

Renter share

19.1% -43%

Yuma: 33.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valle Sereno and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–5.1

Why Valle Sereno scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

19% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

16.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.3 across tracts

4.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–7.3 across tracts

6.1

Risk score comparison

Valle Sereno vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Valle Sereno

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04027000909	5.1	6,016	61%	$1,436
04027000903	3.1	3,425	56%	$1,692

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 63%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 42%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valle Sereno

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

19.6%Housing insecurity
10.7%Utility shutoff threat
24.3%Food insecurity
16.4%SNAP enrollment
22.2%No health insurance
30.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Valle Sereno

What is the eviction-risk score for Valle Sereno?

Valle Sereno scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Valle Sereno compare to Yuma overall?

Valle Sereno scores 1.2 points higher than Yuma overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,529 vs $1,114.

What is the average rent in Valle Sereno?

Average gross rent in Valle Sereno is $1,529/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Valle Sereno residents are renters?

19% of Valle Sereno households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Yuma). The neighborhood has 9,441 residents.

Is Valle Sereno a high social-vulnerability area?

Valle Sereno sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Valle Sereno have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valle Sereno is census tract 04027000909 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 5.1, a spread of 2 points.

How safe is Valle Sereno for landlords?

Valle Sereno carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Yuma as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Valle Sereno?

Valle Sereno has 9,555 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (76.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valle Sereno

4.6 Old World Village 2 tracts · pop 5,016 6.3 Pecan Grove 3 tracts · pop 9,261 5.5 Los Arcos 2 tracts · pop 3,367 5.2 Rollow 2 tracts · pop 7,093 4.8 Vista Del Sol 2 tracts · pop 5,207 4.4 Los Alamos 2 tracts · pop 7,374

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Yuma

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valle Sereno.

4.4 Desert View 1 tracts · pop 3,525 4.4 Southern Sands Mobile 1 tracts · pop 1,434 4.5 Sundance Village 1 tracts · pop 5,365 4.3 El Pueblocito 1 tracts · pop 3,302 4.6 Vista Del Sol 2 tracts · pop 5,207 4.6 Old World Village 2 tracts · pop 5,016

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