Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Valle Sereno Eviction Risk: Moderate , Yuma

Tract 04027000909 · Yuma, AZ · pop 6,016 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 04027000909 in the Valle Sereno area of Yuma ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,016 residents. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,436 a month against an average household income of $90,505 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 7% Owners 81%

Tract context

Occupied units1,777

Renter share19.2%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate25.0%

Median income$90,505

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Yuma and the region

Centroid at 32.6911, -114.6761 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valle Sereno scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Yuma

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.7

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

25.0% poverty · this tract

6.3

Supply constraint

$1,436 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Yuma

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Yuma

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Yuma

3.0

How Valle Sereno compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valle Sereno. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.1%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
29.4%Food insecurity
20.5%SNAP enrollment
13.6%Transit barriers
25.7%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
32.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valle Sereno

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Yuma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Yuma County average of 4.3 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027000909

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027000909?

Census tract 04027000909 in the Valle Sereno neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04027000909?

Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027000909?

25.0% of residents in tract 04027000909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,016.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027000909?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 55th, minority 89th, housing 16th.

Is tract 04027000909 considered part of Valle Sereno?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027000909 fall within Valle Sereno (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04027000909 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04027000909 compare to Yuma overall?

Tract 04027000909 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Yuma at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yuma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Yuma

Top eight tracts in Yuma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.