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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Valle Sereno Eviction Risk: Lower , Yuma

Tract 04027000903 · Yuma, AZ · pop 3,425 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 04027000903 covers Valle Sereno in Yuma, home to 3,425 residents. For landlords it grades 4.4/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #66,218 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,692 a month against an average household income of $111,818 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 8% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,146
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$111,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Valle Sereno
Very Low
Within parent city
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 33 tracts In Yuma
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 67 tracts In Yuma
Very Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,040 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Yuma and the region

Centroid at 32.7020, -114.6719 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valle Sereno scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Yuma
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,692 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yuma
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yuma
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yuma
3.0

How Valle Sereno compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valle Sereno risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 000903Yuma: 3.23.2Yumaparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valle Sereno. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valle Sereno

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Yuma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Yuma County average of 4.3 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027000903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027000903?

Census tract 04027000903 in the Valle Sereno neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04027000903?

Median gross rent is $1,692/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027000903?

1.4% of residents in tract 04027000903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,425.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027000903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 79th, minority 77th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 04027000903 considered part of Valle Sereno?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027000903 fall within Valle Sereno (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04027000903 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04027000903 compare to Yuma overall?

Tract 04027000903 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Yuma at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yuma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Yuma

Top eight tracts in Yuma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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