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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Valle Sereno Eviction Risk: Lower , Yuma

Tract 04027000903 · Yuma, AZ · pop 3,425 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

04027000903 is a census tract in the Valle Sereno area of Yuma, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. At $1,692 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Yuma commands.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 8% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,146
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$111,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Valle Sereno
Very Low
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 33 tracts In Yuma
Low
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 67 tracts In Yuma
Very Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Yuma and the region

Centroid at 32.7020, -114.6719 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valle Sereno scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Yuma
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,692 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yuma
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yuma
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yuma
3.0

How Valle Sereno compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valle Sereno risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 000903Yuma: 3.43.4Yumaparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valle Sereno. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valle Sereno

Cost burden runs 56% here against 40.1% across Yuma County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

The voucher gap is 22.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Against the Yuma County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $111,818.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04027000903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04027000903?

Census tract 04027000903 in the Valle Sereno neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04027000903?

Median gross rent is $1,692/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04027000903?

1.4% of residents in tract 04027000903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,425.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04027000903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 79th, minority 77th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 04027000903 considered part of Valle Sereno?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04027000903 fall within Valle Sereno (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04027000903 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04027000903 compare to Yuma overall?

Tract 04027000903 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Yuma at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yuma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Yuma

Top eight tracts in Yuma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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