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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Nahlen Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Conway

Tract 05045030800 · Faulkner County, AR · pop 6,073 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 05045030800 sits in the Nahlen Cove area of Conway eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 6,073. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 42% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,845
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate29.2%
Median income$50,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Nahlen Cove
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Conway
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 28 tracts In Faulkner County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#159 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 35.0825, -92.4690 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nahlen Cove scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.2% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$905 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
2.0

How Nahlen Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nahlen Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0308003.2Conwayparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nahlen Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nahlen Cove

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Faulkner County average of 3.6. Average gross rent is $905, 10% below the Conway average.

That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 38% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 05045030800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05045030800?

Census tract 05045030800 in the Nahlen Cove neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05045030800?

Median gross rent is $905/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05045030800?

29.2% of residents in tract 05045030800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05045030800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 1th, minority 46th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 05045030800 considered part of Nahlen Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05045030800 fall within Nahlen Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05045030800 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05045030800 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 05045030800 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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