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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Nahlen Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Conway

Tract 05045031007 · Faulkner County, AR · pop 3,953 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 05045031007 in the Nahlen Cove area of Conway, AR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,953. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 33% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,760
Renter share66.0%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate26.2%
Median income$49,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Nahlen Cove
Very Low
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Conway
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 28 tracts In Faulkner County
Very High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#159 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Centroid at 35.0620, -92.4624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nahlen Cove scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Conway
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.2% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,024 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
2.0

How Nahlen Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nahlen Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0310073.2Conwayparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Nahlen Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nahlen Cove

Against Faulkner County at 37.2%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.0 points above the Faulkner County average of 3.6.

That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,024, close to the Conway average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $49,750.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05045031007

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05045031007?

Census tract 05045031007 in the Nahlen Cove neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05045031007?

Median gross rent is $1,024/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05045031007?

26.2% of residents in tract 05045031007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,953.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05045031007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 3th, minority 36th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 05045031007 considered part of Nahlen Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05045031007 fall within Nahlen Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05045031007 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05045031007 compare to Conway overall?

Tract 05045031007 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Conway

Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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