Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally

Pine Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Little Rock

Tract 05119001800 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 4,570 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the Pine Forest neighborhood of Little Rock centers on tract 05119001800, which scores $1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,570 residents. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,001 a month while the average household earns $32,321 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 27% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units2,135

Renter share66.1%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate30.0%

Median income$32,321

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7393, -92.3303 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pine Forest scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Little Rock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

30.0% poverty · this tract

7.5

Supply constraint

$1,001 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Little Rock

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Little Rock

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Little Rock

2.0

How Pine Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
13%Grade B
32%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

30.4%Housing insecurity
26.3%Utility-shutoff threat
40.4%Food insecurity
35.1%SNAP enrollment
20.9%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
21.4%Frequent mental distress
46.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pine Forest

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pulaski County average of 4.5 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119001800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119001800?

Census tract 05119001800 in the Pine Forest neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05119001800?

Median gross rent is $1,001/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119001800?

30.0% of residents in tract 05119001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,570.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119001800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 75th, minority 89th, housing 35th.

Is tract 05119001800 considered part of Pine Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119001800 fall within Pine Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 05119001800 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05119001800 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119001800 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 05119001800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.