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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Pine Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119001800 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 4,570 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

05119001800 is a census tract in the Pine Forest area of Little Rock, AR. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,570 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 27% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,135
Renter share66.1%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$32,321

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pine Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7393, -92.3303 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pine Forest scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,001 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0

How Pine Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pine Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0018003.3Little Rockparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pine Forest

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Pulaski County average of 42.5%. Food insecurity runs 40.4% against 17.8% nationally.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $32,321, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 30.4% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

It sits 0.8 points above the Pulaski County average of 3.9. Average gross rent is $1,001, 9% below the Little Rock average.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Little Rock. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119001800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119001800?

Census tract 05119001800 in the Pine Forest neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05119001800?

Median gross rent is $1,001/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119001800?

30.0% of residents in tract 05119001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,570.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119001800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 75th, minority 89th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 05119001800 considered part of Pine Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119001800 fall within Pine Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05119001800 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05119001800 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119001800 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 05119001800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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