Little Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate

Cost burden runs 73% here against 42.5% across Pulaski County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

The voucher gap is 25.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,299, 17% above the Little Rock average. Food insecurity runs 26.6% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

It sits 0.8 points above the Pulaski County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.