Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Springdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05143010202 · Washington County, AR · pop 3,166

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 05143010202 in Springdale ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,166 residents. On the national scale it ranks #70,226 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,143 monthly, set against $52,796 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 40% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units987

Renter share62.8%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate27.8%

Median income$52,796

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springdale and the region

Centroid at 36.1984, -94.1127 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springdale scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springdale

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

27.8% poverty · this tract

7.0

Supply constraint

$1,143 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springdale

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springdale

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springdale

1.5

How Springdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

36.8%Housing insecurity
25.0%Utility-shutoff threat
48.8%Food insecurity
34.4%SNAP enrollment
23.8%Transit barriers
36.7%No health insurance
23.5%Frequent mental distress
49.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springdale

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 4.0 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 36.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010202?

Census tract 05143010202 in Springdale scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05143010202?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010202?

27.8% of residents in tract 05143010202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,166.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 79th, minority 88th, housing 80th.

What share of households in tract 05143010202 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05143010202 compare to Springdale overall?

Tract 05143010202 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Springdale at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springdale

Top eight tracts in Springdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.