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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Springdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05143010404 · Washington County, AR · pop 2,638

Tract 05143010404 sits in Springdale eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 2,638 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 35% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units918
Renter share74.8%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate58.8%
Median income$29,569

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 21 tracts In Springdale
Very High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 54 tracts In Washington County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#159 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springdale and the region

Centroid at 36.1675, -94.1536 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springdale scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
58.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$717 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springdale
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springdale
1.5

How Springdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springdale risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0104043.2Springdaleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springdale

Cost burden runs 53% here against 36.0% across Washington County. Food insecurity runs 55.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 40.4% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 59%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $717, 33% below the Springdale average.

This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

It sits 0.9 points above the Washington County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $29,569.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010404?

Census tract 05143010404 in Springdale scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05143010404?

Median gross rent is $717/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010404?

58.8% of residents in tract 05143010404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,638.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 96th, minority 82th, housing 72th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05143010404 struggle to pay rent?

About 40.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05143010404 compare to Springdale overall?

Tract 05143010404 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Springdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springdale

Top eight tracts in Springdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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