Elm-Erstan-Baker Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville
Tract 05143010705 · Washington County, AR · pop 3,708 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 05143010705 covers part of the Elm-Erstan-Baker area of Fayetteville, AR, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,708. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 36.1059, -94.1550 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elm-Erstan-Baker scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Elm-Erstan-Baker compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elm-Erstan-Baker. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Elm-Erstan-Baker
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $913, 14% below the Fayetteville average.
It sits 0.8 points above the Washington County average of 3.7. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. roughly one in three of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $58,527.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 05143010705
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010705?
What is the average rent in tract 05143010705?
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010705?
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010705?
Is tract 05143010705 considered part of Elm-Erstan-Baker?
What share of households in tract 05143010705 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 05143010705 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.