Springdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation runs 24.8% against 15.2% nationally.

31% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Washington County average of 36.0%. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $924 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Springdale commands.

That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Washington County average of 3.7 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.