Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
VA Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville
Tract 05143010111 ·
Washington County, AR · pop 2,134 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 05143010111 in the VA Hill area of Fayetteville, AR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,134 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 37%Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units964
Renter share48.8%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$76,739
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In VA Hill
Very Low
Within parent city
54th percentile
#12 of 25 tracts In Fayetteville
Moderate
Within county
72th percentile
#16 of 54 tracts In Washington County
Elevated
Within state
70th percentile
#252 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 36.0707, -94.1497 · click any tract to drill in
Why VA Hill scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
How VA Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.8%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
6.1%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in VA Hill
Cost burden runs 24% here against 36.0% across Washington County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,164 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Fayetteville commands.
Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Washington County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $76,739.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143010111
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010111?
Census tract 05143010111 in the VA Hill neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143010111?
Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010111?
23.8% of residents in tract 05143010111 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,134.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010111?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 2th, minority 39th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 05143010111 considered part of VA Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010111 fall within VA Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05143010111 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05143010111 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 05143010111 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.