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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Eviction Risk: High , Berkeley

Tract 06001423700 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,606 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001423700 in the Elmwood area of Berkeley, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 24% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,143
Renter share55.9%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$102,566

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Elmwood
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 34 tracts In Berkeley
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 378 tracts In Alameda
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 37.8618, -122.2490 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Berkeley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$2,049 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berkeley
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berkeley
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berkeley
7.5

How Elmwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 423700Berkeley: 8.68.6Berkeleyparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Cost burden runs 57% here against 45.5% across Alameda County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $2,049, close to the Berkeley average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $102,566.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001423700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001423700?

Census tract 06001423700 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001423700?

Median gross rent is $2,049/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001423700?

20.2% of residents in tract 06001423700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,606.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001423700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 5th, minority 57th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 06001423700 considered part of Elmwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001423700 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001423700 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001423700 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 06001423700 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001423700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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