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Neighborhood · Berkeley, CA

Elmwood Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 7,856 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.2/10 · range 8.5–9.9

Elmwood is a 3-tract neighborhood of Berkeley, CA and houses 7,856 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.2/10, in the High tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Berkeley rate of 34.0%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 8.5 to 9.9. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 9.5% of adults, 8.3 points below the national rate. That places it #10 of 22 neighborhoods in Berkeley.

Average gross rent runs $2,193, close to the Berkeley average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $131,044. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.2
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Elmwood vs Berkeley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.6% +46%
Berkeley: 34.0%
Average gross rent
$2,193 +3%
Berkeley: $2,133
Average HH income
$131,044 +21%
Berkeley: $108,558
Poverty rate
17.4% +4%
Berkeley: 16.8%
Renter share
57.9% +4%
Berkeley: 55.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8.5–9.9

Why Elmwood scores 9.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
17.4% below poverty line · Range 3.4–5.1 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–4.3 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Elmwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Elmwood: 9.29.2ElmwoodNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmwood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 8.5 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Elmwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001423700 9.9 3,606 57% $2,049
06001423902 8.9 1,512 42% $2,506
06001423601 8.5 2,738 44% $2,211
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elmwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood?

Elmwood scores 9.2/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmwood compare to Berkeley overall?

Elmwood scores 0.6 points higher than Berkeley overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,193 vs $2,133.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmwood?

Average gross rent in Elmwood is $2,193/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmwood residents are renters?

58% of Elmwood households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Berkeley). The neighborhood has 7,856 residents.
Q5

Is Elmwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmwood sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Elmwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmwood is census tract 06001423700 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.5 to 9.9, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Elmwood for landlords?

Elmwood carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Berkeley as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood?

Elmwood has 7,795 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.3%), Hispanic / Latino (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Berkeley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmwood.

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