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Neighborhood · Berkeley, CA

Elmwood Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 7,856 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.2/10 · range 8.5–9.9

Elmwood is a 3-tract neighborhood of Berkeley, CA and houses 7,856 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.2/10, in the High tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Berkeley rate of 34.0%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 8.5 to 9.9. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 9.5% of adults, 8.3 points below the national rate. That places it #10 of 22 neighborhoods in Berkeley.

Average gross rent runs $2,193, close to the Berkeley average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $131,044. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.2
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Elmwood vs Berkeley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.6% +46%
Berkeley: 34.0%
Average gross rent
$2,193 +3%
Berkeley: $2,133
Average HH income
$131,044 +21%
Berkeley: $108,558
Poverty rate
17.4% +4%
Berkeley: 16.8%
Renter share
57.9% +4%
Berkeley: 55.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8.5–9.9

Why Elmwood scores 9.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
17.4% below poverty line · Range 3.4–5.1 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–4.3 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Elmwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Elmwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.2ElmwoodNeighborhood8.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmwood?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 8.5 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Elmwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06001423700 9.9 3,606 57% $2,049
06001423902 8.9 1,512 42% $2,506
06001423601 8.5 2,738 44% $2,211
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmwood

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Elmwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood?

Elmwood scores 9.2/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Elmwood compare to Berkeley overall?

Elmwood scores 0.6 points higher than Berkeley overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,193 vs $2,133.
Q3

What is the average rent in Elmwood?

Average gross rent in Elmwood is $2,193/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Elmwood residents are renters?

58% of Elmwood households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Berkeley). The neighborhood has 7,856 residents.
Q5

Is Elmwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmwood sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Elmwood have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmwood is census tract 06001423700 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.5 to 9.9, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Elmwood for landlords?

Elmwood carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Berkeley as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood?

Elmwood has 7,795 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.3%), Hispanic / Latino (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Berkeley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmwood.

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