West Berkeley Eviction Risk: Elevated

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

The voucher gap is 21.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 52% here against 45.5% across Alameda County. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.