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Dublin, California eviction risk overview
Ranked #614 of 1,865 nationally

Dublin, CA Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Alameda County · Population 70,803

In 2026
Risk score
5.9
ELEVATED

45th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average3.5 Now5.9
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.6 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.5 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.6 1983 · score 1.5 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.5 1986 · score 1.5 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.9 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 2.0 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.7 1994 · score 2.8 1995 · score 2.8 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 3.0 1998 · score 3.0 1999 · score 3.1 2000 · score 3.1 2001 · score 3.2 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.3 2004 · score 3.4 2005 · score 3.5 2006 · score 3.6 2007 · score 3.6 2008 · score 4.2 2009 · score 4.4 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.5 2012 · score 4.5 2013 · score 4.6 2014 · score 4.8 2015 · score 4.8 2016 · score 5.2 2017 · score 5.4 2018 · score 5.6 2019 · score 5.9 2020 · score 6.7 2021 · score 6.7 2022 · score 6.7 2023 · score 6.7 2024 · score 6.5 2025 · score 5.2 2026 · score 5.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.3 Regional 8.3 State 6.8 Economic 4.1 Supply 8.6 Rent Control 4.7 Eviction 6.7 Tenant 7.4 Housing 3.8 5.9 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +53.6% (2024)
    8.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.3
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    4.3% poverty · 3.5% unemp.
    4.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $3,191 average · 34.3% renters
    8.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    26.8% of income on rent
    4.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    276 days filing → judgment
    6.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    34.3% renters
    7.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dublin and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Dublin compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Alameda County
Low
#14 of 21 cities
Rank in county, 35th percentileBottomTop
#14 of 21 cities in Alameda County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Moderate
#891 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 44th percentileBottomTop
#891 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Dublin risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Dublin: 5.95.9DublinThis cityCounty: 7.97.9Countyavg in countyState: 7.27.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.9
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.9/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 276d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $3,191/mo. A contested eviction takes 276 days and costs $15,322-$35,898 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 34.3%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 70,803 residents, 34.3% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 4.3% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.3 and 8.3 (Dem margin +53.6% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.7, housing court bias 3.8, rent-control risk 4.7. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.1. Supply constraint: 8.6. The numbers behind those: 4.3% poverty, 3.5% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Dublin sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) San Jose, CA · 261d · ~$24.2k all-in ($93/day) · score 9.6 San Jose San Francisco, CA · 273d · ~$23.9k all-in ($88/day) · score 9.9 San Francisco Oakland, CA · 282d · ~$24.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 9.9 Oakland Stockton, CA · 246d · ~$23.2k all-in ($94/day) · score 7.3 Stockton Fremont, CA · 254d · ~$26.2k all-in ($103/day) · score 6.1 Fremont Modesto, CA · 262d · ~$25.5k all-in ($97/day) · score 6.9 Modesto Hayward, CA · 287d · ~$27.6k all-in ($96/day) · score 9.7 Hayward Sunnyvale, CA · 287d · ~$24.9k all-in ($87/day) · score 5.2 Sunnyvale Santa Clara, CA · 243d · ~$24.8k all-in ($102/day) · score 5.2 Santa Clara Vallejo, CA · 279d · ~$24.9k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.3 Vallejo Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Dublin
Dublin · 276d · ~$25.6k all-in ($93/day) · score 5.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Dublin, CA

Landlording in Dublin, California, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Dublin is a city of 70,803 residents where 34.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 26.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $3,191/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Dublin eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Dublin closes 276 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Dublin's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Dublin runs $15,322 to $35,898 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 276 days of typical timeline and $3,191/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.4/10 in Dublin, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Dublin: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $35,898 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Dublin

Trap · 4.3%
Local poverty rate is 4.3%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward moderate volume in Alameda County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 4.7/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant for any reason in Dublin, CA?

No, California is a "just-cause" state. You need a legally recognized reason to evict a tenant, even if they are on a month-to-month lease. This could be non-payment of rent, lease violations, or specific no-fault reasons like an owner move-in, which may require relocation assistance.

Q2

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I give a 3-day notice?

Accepting a partial payment after issuing a 3-day notice typically "waives" the notice, meaning you have to start the 3-day process all over again. It's usually best to decline partial payments once an eviction notice is served, unless you're doing so under explicit legal advice.

Q3

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Dublin?

You have 21 calendar days after the tenant moves out to return their security deposit, or provide an itemized statement of deductions for repairs or unpaid rent. Make sure to follow California security deposit rules strictly to avoid penalties.

Q4

Should I use an attorney for an eviction in Dublin?

Absolutely. Given the complexity of California's landlord-tenant laws, the just-cause requirements, and the potential for costly delays, attempting a DIY eviction in Dublin is a major risk. An attorney specializing in California eviction process step-by-step will save you time and money in the long run.

Q5

What is "cash for keys" and should I offer it?

"Cash for keys" is an agreement where you offer a tenant a sum of money to voluntarily vacate the property by a certain date. It can be a very effective way to avoid the lengthy and expensive eviction process, especially in a high-risk area like Dublin. Consider it if a tenant is clearly not going to pay.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.9/10 places Dublin in the 45th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.