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Durham, North Carolina eviction risk overview
Ranked #938 of 1,865 nationally

Durham, NC Eviction Risk: LOW

Durham County · Population 291,467

In 2026
Risk score
3.4
LOW

100th percentile, North Carolina.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average2.6 Now3.4
4.2 1.7 1976 · score 2.8 1977 · score 2.8 1978 · score 2.7 1979 · score 2.8 1980 · score 2.8 1981 · score 2.8 1982 · score 2.9 1983 · score 2.8 1984 · score 2.6 1985 · score 2.1 1986 · score 2.0 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.7 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.8 1992 · score 2.3 1993 · score 2.2 1994 · score 2.2 1995 · score 2.2 1996 · score 2.2 1997 · score 2.2 1998 · score 2.2 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.2 2001 · score 2.2 2002 · score 2.3 2003 · score 2.2 2004 · score 2.1 2005 · score 2.1 2006 · score 2.1 2007 · score 2.1 2008 · score 2.7 2009 · score 3.0 2010 · score 3.1 2011 · score 3.1 2012 · score 3.0 2013 · score 3.0 2014 · score 2.9 2015 · score 2.9 2016 · score 3.0 2017 · score 3.0 2018 · score 3.0 2019 · score 3.1 2020 · score 4.0 2021 · score 4.2 2022 · score 3.3 2023 · score 3.3 2024 · score 3.3 2025 · score 3.4 2026 · score 3.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.5 Regional 6.5 State 4.0 Economic 6.0 Supply 6.5 Rent Control 2.0 Eviction 4.5 Tenant 6.5 Housing 4.5 3.4 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +61.9% (2024)
    7.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.5
  3. State political climate
    North Carolina legislature & governorship
    4.0
  4. Economic stress
    12.2% poverty · 4.2% unemp.
    6.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,508 average · 47.7% renters
    6.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.4% of income on rent
    2.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    45 days filing → judgment
    4.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    47.7% renters
    6.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Durham compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Durham County
Very High
#1 of 3 cities
Rank in county, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 cities in Durham County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in North Carolina
Very High
#3 of 774 cities
Rank in state, 100th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 774 cities in North Carolina for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Durham risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Durham: 3.43.4DurhamThis cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg in countyState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3.4
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3.4/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 45d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,508/mo. A contested eviction takes 45 days and costs $1,339–$4,039 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 47.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 291,467 residents, 47.7% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 12.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.5 and 6.5 (Dem margin +61.9% (2024)). State climate at 4, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.5, housing court bias 4.5, rent-control risk 2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6. Supply constraint: 6.5. The numbers behind those: 12.2% poverty, 4.2% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Durham sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Raleigh, NC · 45d · ~$3.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.3 Raleigh Cary, NC · 46d · ~$2.8k all-in ($61/day) · score 2.6 Cary Apex, NC · 45d · ~$2.6k all-in ($58/day) · score 2.4 Apex Chapel Hill, NC · 42d · ~$2.9k all-in ($68/day) · score 3.4 Chapel Hill Burlington, NC · 41d · ~$3.4k all-in ($84/day) · score 2.8 Burlington Wake Forest, NC · 47d · ~$3.3k all-in ($70/day) · score 2.6 Wake Forest Charlotte, NC · 43d · ~$2.9k all-in ($68/day) · score 3.2 Charlotte Greensboro, NC · 44d · ~$2.7k all-in ($61/day) · score 3.2 Greensboro Winston-Salem, NC · 48d · ~$3.2k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Winston-Salem Fayetteville, NC · 48d · ~$2.8k all-in ($59/day) · score 3 Fayetteville Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Durham
Durham · 45d · ~$2.7k all-in ($60/day) · score 3.4 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Durham, NC

Landlording in Durham, North Carolina, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Durham is a city of 291,467 residents where 47.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.4% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,508/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Durham eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Durham closes 45 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Durham's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Durham runs $1,339 to $4,039 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 45 days of typical timeline and $1,508/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.5/10 in Durham, and the city has limited rent control exposure (2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In North Carolina, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Durham: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match North Carolina's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,039 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Durham

Trap · DURHAM COUNTY MAGISTRATE
The Durham rental market has tracked Raleigh's through the cycle, with slightly lower absolute rents and a more diverse demographic mix. The Durham County Magistrate enforces predicate-notice content strictly; the 10-day Demand must itemize the rent owed and the cure period. Legal Aid of North Carolina staffs Durham intake; the contested-case rate runs moderately.
Trap · NCGS 42-14.1
State context: NCGS 42-14.1 preempts rent control. Durham has not pursued source-of-income protection (Greensboro is the only major NC city with that). The 2024 Durham City Council passed a Tenant Bill of Rights resolution that is aspirational; the binding pieces are constrained by state preemption. Operators acquiring Durham inventory work primarily within state framework.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the fastest way to get a tenant out who isn't paying?

The fastest route is often a combination of prompt legal action and, sometimes, "cash for keys." Immediately issue the 10-day pay-or-quit notice, and if they don't pay, file for summary ejectment. Simultaneously, you can offer a cash incentive for them to vacate quickly and cleanly, avoiding the court process entirely. This bypasses the typical 45-day timeline.
Q2

Can I evict a tenant for breaking a rule in the lease, not just non-payment?

Yes, if the lease clearly states a rule and the tenant breaches it, you can often evict them. However, for non-payment, North Carolina requires a specific 10-day notice. For other lease violations, the notice period might vary depending on the specific lease clause and the nature of the breach. It's best to consult an attorney for non-payment breaches to ensure proper notice.
Q3

Do I need a lawyer for every eviction in Durham?

Not necessarily for every single case, especially if it's a straightforward non-payment eviction and you're comfortable with court procedures. However, if the tenant disputes the claim, raises defenses about the property's condition, or if you're unsure about the process, hiring a lawyer is highly recommended. It can save you time, money, and stress in the long run.
Q4

What happens if the tenant appeals the eviction judgment?

If a tenant appeals, the case moves from magistrate court to District Court. This significantly extends the timeline and increases costs. The tenant might be required to pay rent into the court while the appeal is pending. This is a situation where you absolutely want an attorney involved to represent your interests effectively.
Q5

Can I turn off utilities or change locks if a tenant doesn't pay?

Absolutely not. Self-help evictions, like changing locks, shutting off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings, are illegal in North Carolina and can lead to severe penalties, including fines and damages owed to the tenant. You must follow the legal eviction process through the courts.
Q6

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Durham?

You have 30 days from the termination of the tenancy and delivery of possession by the tenant to either return the full security deposit or provide an itemized statement of deductions. If you need more time to assess damages, you can send an interim accounting within 30 days and a final accounting within 60 days.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3.4/10 places Durham in the 100th percentile of North Carolina cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.