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Neighborhood · Hayward, CA

Russell City Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 25,773 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 5.9–8.4

Russell City spans 4 census tracts of Hayward, CA and houses 25,773 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Hayward baseline of 31.9%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.9 to 8.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10.

Average gross rent is $2,137, 11% below the Hayward average of $2,391. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $111,321. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Russell City vs Hayward How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.9% +47%
Hayward: 31.9%
Average gross rent
$2,137 -11%
Hayward: $2,391
Average HH income
$111,321 -2%
Hayward: $113,775
Poverty rate
8.0% -15%
Hayward: 9.5%
Renter share
37.8% -10%
Hayward: 42.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Russell City and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.9–8.4

Why Russell City scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 6.5–7.3 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.4 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 7.2–8.5 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–6.1 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–4.4 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Russell City vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Russell City score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Russell City: 7.27.2Russell CityNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Russell City?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.5 points from 5.9 to 8.4. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Russell City

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001437200 8.4 8,491 52% $2,518
06001436900 7.6 6,403 52% $2,257
06001436100 6 5,765 37% $1,678
06001436000 5.9 5,114 44% $1,871
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Russell City

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Russell City

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Russell City?

Russell City scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Russell City compare to Hayward overall?

Russell City scores 0.6 points lower than Hayward overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,137 vs $2,391.
Q3

What is the average rent in Russell City?

Average gross rent in Russell City is $2,137/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Russell City residents are renters?

38% of Russell City households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Hayward). The neighborhood has 25,773 residents.
Q5

Is Russell City a high social-vulnerability area?

Russell City sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Russell City have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Russell City is census tract 06001437200 (score 8.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 8.4, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Russell City for landlords?

Russell City carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hayward as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Russell City?

Russell City has 26,664 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Russell City

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hayward

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Russell City.

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