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Neighborhood · Hayward, CA

Baumberg Eviction Risk: High

6 census tracts · pop 22,512 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 6.9–9.2

Baumberg is a 6-tract neighborhood of Hayward, CA, population 22,512. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, in the High tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Hayward rate of 31.9%.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Scores across the 6 constituent tracts range from 6.9 to 9.2. A 2.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.3/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.3/10. At $2,566 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Hayward commands.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $102,101.

30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
Baumberg vs Hayward How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +46%
Hayward: 31.9%
Average gross rent
$2,566 +7%
Hayward: $2,391
Average HH income
$102,101 -10%
Hayward: $113,775
Poverty rate
9.3% -2%
Hayward: 9.5%
Renter share
30.4% -28%
Hayward: 42.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baumberg and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 6.9–9.2

Why Baumberg scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.7 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–6.9 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Baumberg vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Baumberg score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0BaumbergNeighborhood7.8Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Baumberg?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 6.9 to 9.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Baumberg

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06001437300 9.2 3,135 55% $2,042
06001437102 8.8 4,457 47% $2,155
06001438201 7.9 4,895 57% $2,843
06001437600 7.7 3,455 59% $2,406
06001438400 7.4 2,671 21% $2,647
06001438300 6.9 3,899 33% $3,193
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Baumberg

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Baumberg

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Baumberg?

Baumberg scores 8/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Baumberg compare to Hayward overall?

Baumberg scores 0.2 points higher than Hayward overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,566 vs $2,391.
Q3

What is the average rent in Baumberg?

Average gross rent in Baumberg is $2,566/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Baumberg residents are renters?

30% of Baumberg households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Hayward). The neighborhood has 22,512 residents.
Q5

Is Baumberg a high social-vulnerability area?

Baumberg sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Baumberg have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Baumberg is census tract 06001437300 (score 9.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 9.2, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Baumberg for landlords?

Baumberg carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hayward as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Baumberg?

Baumberg has 21,695 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (40.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (36.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Baumberg

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hayward

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Baumberg.

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