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Neighborhood · Hayward, CA

Baumberg Eviction Risk: High

6 census tracts · pop 22,512 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 6.9–9.2

Baumberg is a 6-tract neighborhood of Hayward, CA, population 22,512. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, in the High tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Hayward rate of 31.9%.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Scores across the 6 constituent tracts range from 6.9 to 9.2. A 2.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.3/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.3/10. At $2,566 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Hayward commands.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $102,101.

30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
Baumberg vs Hayward How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +46%
Hayward: 31.9%
Average gross rent
$2,566 +7%
Hayward: $2,391
Average HH income
$102,101 -10%
Hayward: $113,775
Poverty rate
9.3% -2%
Hayward: 9.5%
Renter share
30.4% -28%
Hayward: 42.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baumberg and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 6.9–9.2

Why Baumberg scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.7 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–6.9 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Baumberg vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Baumberg score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Baumberg: 8.08.0BaumbergNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Baumberg?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 6.9 to 9.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Baumberg

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001437300 9.2 3,135 55% $2,042
06001437102 8.8 4,457 47% $2,155
06001438201 7.9 4,895 57% $2,843
06001437600 7.7 3,455 59% $2,406
06001438400 7.4 2,671 21% $2,647
06001438300 6.9 3,899 33% $3,193
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Baumberg

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Baumberg

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Baumberg?

Baumberg scores 8/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Baumberg compare to Hayward overall?

Baumberg scores 0.2 points higher than Hayward overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,566 vs $2,391.
Q3

What is the average rent in Baumberg?

Average gross rent in Baumberg is $2,566/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Baumberg residents are renters?

30% of Baumberg households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Hayward). The neighborhood has 22,512 residents.
Q5

Is Baumberg a high social-vulnerability area?

Baumberg sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Baumberg have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Baumberg is census tract 06001437300 (score 9.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 9.2, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Baumberg for landlords?

Baumberg carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hayward as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Baumberg?

Baumberg has 21,695 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (40.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (36.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Baumberg

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hayward

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Baumberg.

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