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Neighborhood · Union City, CA

Contempo Eviction Risk: Moderate

11 census tracts · pop 47,260 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.4–6.5

Contempo takes in 11 census tracts of Union City, CA, population 47,260. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Union City rate of 28.8%.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Scores across the 11 constituent tracts range from 5.4 to 6.5. A 1.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The voucher gap is 11.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $2,997 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Union City commands. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $160,467.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
11 tracts · population-weighted
Contempo vs Union City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.7% +52%
Union City: 28.8%
Average gross rent
$2,997 +10%
Union City: $2,713
Average HH income
$160,467 +12%
Union City: $143,393
Poverty rate
5.1% -27%
Union City: 7.0%
Renter share
18.6% -47%
Union City: 35.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Contempo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 11 tracts span score 5.4–6.5

Why Contempo scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 4.9–5.4 across tracts
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.8 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 4.5–8.1 across tracts
5.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–5.6 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–8.1 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

Contempo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Contempo score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Contempo: 5.95.9ContempoNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Contempo?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 5.4 to 6.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

11 tracts in Contempo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001441521 6.5 6,016 54% $3,394
06001440307 6.5 4,481 28% $1,764
06001440333 6.2 2,732 42% $3,131
06001441522 6 5,275 15% $3,431
06001440306 6 3,787 55% $3,132
06001440331 5.9 3,276 40% $2,793
06001440332 5.8 3,203 47% $3,501
06001440334 5.7 4,041 46% $2,714
06001440304 5.6 4,662 54% $2,230
06001441501 5.4 5,723 46% $3,291
06001440305 5.4 4,064 57% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 11 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Contempo

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Contempo

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Contempo?

Contempo scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 11 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Contempo compare to Union City overall?

Contempo scores 0.7 points lower than Union City overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,997 vs $2,713.
Q3

What is the average rent in Contempo?

Average gross rent in Contempo is $2,997/month (pop-weighted across 11 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Contempo residents are renters?

19% of Contempo households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Union City). The neighborhood has 47,260 residents.
Q5

Is Contempo a high social-vulnerability area?

Contempo sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Contempo have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Contempo is census tract 06001441521 (score 6.5/10). Across the 11 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 6.5, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Contempo for landlords?

Contempo carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 11 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Union City as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Contempo?

Contempo has 46,132 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (68.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (12%), Hispanic / Latino (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Contempo

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Union City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Contempo.

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