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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001409800 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,511 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001409800 in the Elmhurst area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,511. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 13% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,226
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$104,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 10 tracts In Elmhurst
Elevated
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 116 tracts In Oakland
Moderate
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 378 tracts In Alameda
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7604, -122.1558 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakland
9.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,170 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakland
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakland
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakland
9.5

How Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmhurst risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 409800Oakland: 9.69.6Oaklandparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst

Cost burden runs 66% here against 45.5% across Alameda County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 9.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

It sits 2.1 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8. At $2,170 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Oakland commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $104,125.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001409800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001409800?

Census tract 06001409800 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001409800?

Median gross rent is $2,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001409800?

10.9% of residents in tract 06001409800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,511.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001409800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 18th, minority 86th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 06001409800 considered part of Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001409800 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001409800 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001409800 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001409800 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001409800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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