Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001409600 · Alameda, CA · pop 5,139 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06001409600 is a census tract in the Elmhurst area of Oakland, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,139 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 25% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,727

Renter share60.2%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate16.8%

Median income$58,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7533, -122.1726 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.8% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$1,456 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
43%Grade C
47%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.7%Housing insecurity
15.3%Utility-shutoff threat
36.1%Food insecurity
33.7%SNAP enrollment
17.7%Transit barriers
21.2%No health insurance
21.4%Frequent mental distress
39.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.7/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 45.5% across Alameda County.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. At $1,456 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Oakland commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001409600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001409600?

Census tract 06001409600 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001409600?

Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001409600?

16.8% of residents in tract 06001409600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,139.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001409600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 38th, minority 96th, housing 62th.

Is tract 06001409600 considered part of Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001409600 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001409600 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001409600 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001409600 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001409600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 47% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.