Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: Elevated

10 census tracts · pop 43,515 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 6.1–9.3

Elmhurst is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Oakland with 10 census tracts and a population of 43,515 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,771/month sits 11% lower than the Oakland citywide average ($1,979).

Risk score

7.6

Elevated

10 tracts · population-weighted

Elmhurst vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

62.3% +104%

Oakland: 30.6%

Average gross rent

$1,771 -11%

Oakland: $1,979

Average HH income

$74,397 -24%

Oakland: $97,369

Poverty rate

16.5% +21%

Oakland: 13.7%

Renter share

55.8% -3%

Oakland: 57.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmhurst and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 10 tracts span score 6.1–9.3

Why Elmhurst scores 7.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts

9.7

Rent control risk

62% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

56% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Economic stress

16.5% below poverty line · Range 1.5–8.3 across tracts

4.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts

1.8

Risk score comparison

Elmhurst vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmhurst?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.2 points from 6.1 to 9.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

9.3 8.8 8.4 7.9 7.2 7.1 7.1 6.7 6.6 6.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

10 tracts in Elmhurst

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06001409700	9.3	5,240	81%	$1,327
06001409500	8.8	4,291	74%	$1,802
06001410300	8.4	3,893	68%	$1,920
06001409600	7.9	5,139	58%	$1,456
06001408500	7.2	5,634	52%	$1,683
06001409400	7.1	4,710	61%	$2,032
06001410100	7.1	3,172	65%	$1,811
06001410200	6.7	3,238	63%	$2,068
06001409800	6.6	3,511	66%	$2,170
06001410400	6.1	4,687	39%	$1,776

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 10 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 67%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 79%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmhurst

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

27.7%Housing insecurity
15.3%Utility shutoff threat
33.5%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
17.7%No health insurance
38.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Elmhurst

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmhurst?

Elmhurst scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Elmhurst compare to Oakland overall?

Elmhurst scores 2.3 points lower than Oakland overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,771 vs $1,979.

What is the average rent in Elmhurst?

Average gross rent in Elmhurst is $1,771/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Elmhurst residents are renters?

56% of Elmhurst households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 43,515 residents.

Is Elmhurst a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmhurst sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Elmhurst have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmhurst is census tract 06001409700 (score 9.3/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 9.3, a spread of 3.2 points.

How safe is Elmhurst for landlords?

Elmhurst carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmhurst?

Elmhurst has 43,891 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.8%), Other / Multiracial (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmhurst

6.4 Brookfield Village 4 tracts · pop 16,764 7.4 Eastmont 3 tracts · pop 15,387 8.7 Lockwood Gardens 2 tracts · pop 11,924 6.2 Millsmont 2 tracts · pop 11,784 4.7 Mulford 4 tracts · pop 20,456 8.3 Melrose 3 tracts · pop 10,689

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmhurst.

7.5 Eastmont 3 tracts · pop 15,387 7.7 Lower Bottoms 3 tracts · pop 8,066 7.7 Fruitvale 4 tracts · pop 20,269 7.8 Hoover-Foster 3 tracts · pop 10,830 7.8 Old Oakland Historic District 3 tracts · pop 5,251 7.9 Civic Center 2 tracts · pop 2,964

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