10 census tracts · pop 43,515 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.8/10
· range 9.3–9.9
Elmhurst spans 10 census tracts of Oakland, CA and houses 43,515 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.8/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 62% against 30.6% citywide, putting Elmhurst 31.7% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 37%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.
Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Food insecurity affects 32.8% of adults, 15.0 points above the national rate.
15.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Average gross rent is $1,771, 11% below the Oakland average of $1,979.
That places it #23 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland. For a like-for-like read, Hoover-Foster and Civic Center score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 10 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 9.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.8
High
10 tracts · population-weighted
Elmhurst vs OaklandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmhurst
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
27.7%Housing insecurity
15.3%Utility shutoff threat
33.5%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
17.7%No health insurance
38.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Elmhurst
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elmhurst?
Elmhurst scores 9.8/10 (High tier) across 10 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elmhurst compare to Oakland overall?
Elmhurst scores 0.2 points higher than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,771 vs $1,979.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elmhurst?
Average gross rent in Elmhurst is $1,771/month (pop-weighted across 10 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elmhurst residents are renters?
56% of Elmhurst households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 43,515 residents.
Q5
Is Elmhurst a high social-vulnerability area?
Elmhurst sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Elmhurst have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmhurst is census tract 06001408500 (score 9.9/10). Across the 10 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.3 to 9.9, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Elmhurst for landlords?
Elmhurst carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.8/10). Pop-weighted across 10 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Elmhurst?
Elmhurst has 43,891 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.8%), Other / Multiracial (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
