Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001410100 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,172 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001410100 in the Elmhurst area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,172 residents. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 13% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,095

Renter share38.4%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate14.2%

Median income$90,388

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7477, -122.1534 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

14.2% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$1,811 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

52%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
81%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.5%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
26.0%SNAP enrollment
13.3%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
34.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst

Cost burden runs 65% here against 45.5% across Alameda County. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.7/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally.

At $1,811 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Oakland commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001410100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001410100?

Census tract 06001410100 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001410100?

Median gross rent is $1,811/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001410100?

14.2% of residents in tract 06001410100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,172.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001410100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 84th, minority 91th, housing 92th.

Is tract 06001410100 considered part of Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001410100 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001410100 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001410100 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001410100 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001410100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.