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Neighborhood · Ranked #675 of 84,120 nationally

Lockwood Gardens Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001408800 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,968 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 6.9/10, tract 06001408800 in the Lockwood Gardens area of Oakland ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 7,968 residents. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $963 a month against an average household income of $40,981 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 34% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units2,365
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$40,981

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lockwood Gardens
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 116 tracts In Oakland
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#225 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7589, -122.1970 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lockwood Gardens scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakland
9.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$963 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakland
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakland
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakland
9.5

How Lockwood Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lockwood Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.88.8This tracttract 408800Oakland: 9.99.9Oaklandparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lockwood Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lockwood Gardens

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oakland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Alameda County average of 5.8 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001408800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001408800?

Census tract 06001408800 in the Lockwood Gardens neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001408800?

Median gross rent is $963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001408800?

22.9% of residents in tract 06001408800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,968.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001408800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 88th, minority 95th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 06001408800 considered part of Lockwood Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001408800 fall within Lockwood Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001408800 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001408800 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001408800 scores 8.8/10, lower than the parent city of Oakland at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001408800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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