Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001409500 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,291 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001409500 in the Elmhurst area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,291 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 18% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,117

Renter share70.4%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate25.0%

Median income$46,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7504, -122.1838 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

25.0% poverty · this tract

6.2

Supply constraint

$1,802 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
96%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.5%Housing insecurity
19.8%Utility-shutoff threat
43.8%Food insecurity
44.2%SNAP enrollment
21.8%Transit barriers
23.8%No health insurance
23.0%Frequent mental distress
44.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst

Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Food insecurity runs 43.8% against 17.8% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $46,750 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.7/10.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 44.0% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,802, 9% below the Oakland average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001409500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001409500?

Census tract 06001409500 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001409500?

Median gross rent is $1,802/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001409500?

25.0% of residents in tract 06001409500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,291.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001409500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 93th, minority 90th, housing 81th.

Is tract 06001409500 considered part of Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001409500 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001409500 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001409500 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001409500 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001409500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 96% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.