Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Decoto Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City
Tract 06001438000 ·
Alameda, CA · pop 3,645 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 06001438000 sits in the Decoto area of Hayward eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It is home to 3,645 residents. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%Stable renters 17%Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,084
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$137,418
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#4 of 7 tracts In Decoto
Moderate
Within parent city
3th percentile
#31 of 32 tracts In Union City
Very Low
Within county
38th percentile
#235 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Low
Within state
39th percentile
#5,582 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Union City and the region
Centroid at 37.6191, -122.0285 · click any tract to drill in
Why Decoto scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,080 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
6.1
How Decoto compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.5%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
11.2%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Decoto
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $3,080, 29% above the Hayward average.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. The voucher gap is 14.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $137,418.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06001438000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001438000?
Census tract 06001438000 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06001438000?
Median gross rent is $3,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06001438000?
4.6% of residents in tract 06001438000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,645.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06001438000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 44th, minority 83th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 06001438000 considered part of Decoto?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001438000 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06001438000 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06001438000 compare to Union City overall?
Tract 06001438000 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Union City
Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.