Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Decoto Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City

Tract 06001440338 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,095 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Decoto in Union City anchors census tract 06001440338, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,782 a month while the average household earns $132,250 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 42% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units1,683

Renter share73.4%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate17.0%

Median income$132,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5882, -122.0142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decoto scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Union City

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

17.0% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$2,782 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Union City

5.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Union City

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Union City

5.6

How Decoto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

33%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Decoto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.9%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
12.7%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
20.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decoto

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Alameda County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440338

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440338?

Census tract 06001440338 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001440338?

Median gross rent is $2,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440338?

17.0% of residents in tract 06001440338 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,095.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440338?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 40th, minority 83th, housing 51th.

Is tract 06001440338 considered part of Decoto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440338 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001440338 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001440338 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440338 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Union City at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.