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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Decoto Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 06001438100 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,953 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 6.9/10, tract 06001438100 in the Decoto area of Hayward, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,953 residents. Average gross rent is $3,302, 38% above the Hayward average.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 12% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,240
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$154,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Decoto
High
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 32 tracts In Union City
Very Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#227 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#5,398 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.6182, -122.0390 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decoto scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,302 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
6.1

How Decoto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Decoto risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 438100Union City: 6.66.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Decoto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decoto

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 23.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 38% here against 45.5% across Alameda County.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001438100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001438100?

Census tract 06001438100 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001438100?

Median gross rent is $3,302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001438100?

6.0% of residents in tract 06001438100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,953.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001438100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 29th, minority 89th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 06001438100 considered part of Decoto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001438100 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001438100 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001438100 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001438100 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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