Dougherty Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Ramon

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.3 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. Average gross rent is $3,501, 18% above the San Ramon average.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.