Census Tract · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029003209 · Kern, CA · pop 4,811

Bakersfield anchors census tract 06029003209, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,890 monthly, set against $72,029 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 15% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,128

Renter share36.0%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate9.8%

Median income$72,029

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.2887, -119.0522 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.8% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,890 rent vs county FMR

8.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.2%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
30.6%Food insecurity
29.4%SNAP enrollment
15.3%Transit barriers
16.5%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003209

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003209?

Census tract 06029003209 in Bakersfield scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003209?

Median gross rent is $1,890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003209?

9.8% of residents in tract 06029003209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,811.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003209?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 53th, minority 88th, housing 21th.

What share of households in tract 06029003209 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003209 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003209 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.