Census Tract · Ranked #675 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06029002002 · Kern, CA · pop 4,599

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06029002002 (Bakersfield, California) comes in at 6.5/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $924 monthly, set against $25,863 in average yearly household income, roughly 43% of income at the averages. Renters make up 87% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.8

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 28% Owners 13%

Tract context

Occupied units1,503

Renter share86.9%

SVI overall1.00

Poverty rate54.6%

Median income$25,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3604, -119.0154 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

54.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$924 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
100%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.7%Housing insecurity
25.3%Utility-shutoff threat
51.8%Food insecurity
57.3%SNAP enrollment
27.2%Transit barriers
26.6%No health insurance
24.5%Frequent mental distress
51.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kern County average of 6.1 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 37.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002002?

Census tract 06029002002 in Bakersfield scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029002002?

Median gross rent is $924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002002?

54.6% of residents in tract 06029002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,599.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 98th, minority 93th, housing 100th.

What share of households in tract 06029002002 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029002002 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002002 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.