Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Kern County average of 49.2%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 55%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 37.7% against 14.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $25,863 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $924 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Bakersfield commands.

Disability prevalence runs 51.8% against 31.5% nationally. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

Against the Kern County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.