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Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029000912 · Kern, CA · pop 3,917 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

Tract 06029000912 sits in Bakersfield eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It is home to 3,917 residents. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 17% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,292
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate41.6%
Median income$34,116

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#68 of 236 tracts In Kern
Elevated
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#4,386 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10,320 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3896, -118.9083 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
41.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0009126.1Bakersfieldparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

Against Kern County at 49.2%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $34,116, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. SNAP participation runs 37.9% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 35.7% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Kern County average of 6.4. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,374, close to the Bakersfield average.

55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029000912

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029000912?

Census tract 06029000912 in Bakersfield scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029000912?

Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029000912?

41.6% of residents in tract 06029000912 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,917.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029000912?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 86th, minority 77th, housing 100th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029000912 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029000912 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029000912 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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