Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 37.0% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 63.5% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 54%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $30,733, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

At $998 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Bakersfield commands. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Kern County average of 49.2%.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Kern County average of 6.4. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.