Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06029003211 · Kern, CA · pop 4,897 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06029003211 (Bakersfield, California) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,911 a month while the average household earns $119,478 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 25% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,207

Renter share35.6%

SVI overall0.76

Poverty rate11.5%

Median income$119,478

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.2738, -119.0319 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.5% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,911 rent vs county FMR

8.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.1%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
22.1%Food insecurity
18.1%SNAP enrollment
11.4%Transit barriers
13.7%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
30.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kern County average of 6.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003211

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003211?

Census tract 06029003211 in Bakersfield scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003211?

Median gross rent is $1,911/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003211?

11.5% of residents in tract 06029003211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,897.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003211?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 86th, minority 85th, housing 57th.

What share of households in tract 06029003211 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003211 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003211 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.