Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Housing insecurity runs 38.3% against 14.2% nationally. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $33,281, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.2% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,142, 22% below the Bakersfield average.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Kern County average of 49.2%. It sits 1.1 points above the Kern County average of 6.4. Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.