3 census tracts · pop 15,130 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10
· range 6.2–7.8
North Shafter is a 3-tract neighborhood of Shafter, CA, population 15,130. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.1/10, in the Elevated tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Shafter rate of 29.9%.
Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 35.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.2 to 7.8, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10.
16.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,101, 12% below the Shafter average of $1,253. Running cool is supply constraint, at 3/10. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $63,177. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
North Shafter vs ShafterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Shafter
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
28.8%Housing insecurity
15.7%Utility shutoff threat
35.9%Food insecurity
34.2%SNAP enrollment
24.1%No health insurance
41.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About North Shafter
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for North Shafter?
North Shafter scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does North Shafter compare to Shafter overall?
North Shafter scores 0.7 points higher than Shafter overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,101 vs $1,253.
Q3
What is the average rent in North Shafter?
Average gross rent in North Shafter is $1,101/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of North Shafter residents are renters?
40% of North Shafter households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Shafter). The neighborhood has 15,130 residents.
Q5
Is North Shafter a high social-vulnerability area?
North Shafter sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in North Shafter have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in North Shafter is census tract 06029004102 (score 7.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 7.8, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is North Shafter for landlords?
North Shafter carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Shafter as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of North Shafter?
North Shafter has 15,148 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (83.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.4%), Other / Multiracial (0.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
