Neighborhood · Bakersfield, CA

The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate

7 census tracts · pop 33,566 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 3.4–6.3

The Polo Greens is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Bakersfield with 7 census tracts and a population of 33,566 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,852/month sits 26% higher than the Bakersfield citywide average ($1,472).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

7 tracts · population-weighted

The Polo Greens vs Bakersfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.0% +51%

Bakersfield: 33.8%

Average gross rent

$1,852 +26%

Bakersfield: $1,472

Average HH income

$115,979 +50%

Bakersfield: $77,397

Poverty rate

11.0% -31%

Bakersfield: 16.0%

Renter share

23.3% -41%

Bakersfield: 39.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Polo Greens and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 3.4–6.3

Why The Polo Greens scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.5–5.0 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 3.9–4.5 across tracts

4.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.2 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

23% renter households · Range 4.0–5.0 across tracts

4.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–5.5 across tracts

5.3

Economic stress

11.0% below poverty line · Range 2.3–4.1 across tracts

2.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–10.0 across tracts

8.7

Risk score comparison

The Polo Greens vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in The Polo Greens?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.9 points from 3.4 to 6.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.3 6.0 6.0 5.3 5.3 5.2 3.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

7 tracts in The Polo Greens

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06029003816	6.3	3,190	71%	—
06029003818	6	5,687	60%	$2,273
06029003808	6	4,745	57%	$1,731
06029003806	5.3	5,634	46%	$2,076
06029003817	5.3	4,243	7%	$2,541
06029003815	5.2	6,710	61%	$2,031
06029003807	3.4	3,357	53%	$1,461

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 57%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 25%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Polo Greens

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.6%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
7.7%No health insurance
28.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About The Polo Greens

What is the eviction-risk score for The Polo Greens?

The Polo Greens scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Polo Greens compare to Bakersfield overall?

The Polo Greens scores 2.3 points lower than Bakersfield overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,852 vs $1,472.

What is the average rent in The Polo Greens?

Average gross rent in The Polo Greens is $1,852/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of The Polo Greens residents are renters?

23% of The Polo Greens households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Bakersfield). The neighborhood has 33,566 residents.

Is The Polo Greens a high social-vulnerability area?

The Polo Greens sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in The Polo Greens have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Polo Greens is census tract 06029003816 (score 6.3/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 6.3, a spread of 2.9 points.

How safe is The Polo Greens for landlords?

The Polo Greens carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bakersfield as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Polo Greens?

The Polo Greens has 31,939 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), Hispanic / Latino (31.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Polo Greens

7.5 North Shafter 3 tracts · pop 15,130 7.8 South Taft 2 tracts · pop 11,158

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