7 census tracts · pop 33,566 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.6–5.2
The Polo Greens is a 7-tract neighborhood of Bakersfield, CA and houses 33,566 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Bakersfield rate of 33.8%.
The voucher gap is 43.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 34%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The dominant input is supply constraint at 8.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,852, 26% above the Bakersfield average of $1,472. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Against average income of $115,979, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. The 7 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 4.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
7 tracts · population-weighted
The Polo Greens vs BakersfieldHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Polo Greens
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.6%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
12.1%SNAP enrollment
7.7%No health insurance
28.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Polo Greens
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Polo Greens?
The Polo Greens scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Polo Greens compare to Bakersfield overall?
The Polo Greens scores 1.3 points lower than Bakersfield overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,852 vs $1,472.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Polo Greens?
Average gross rent in The Polo Greens is $1,852/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Polo Greens residents are renters?
23% of The Polo Greens households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Bakersfield). The neighborhood has 33,566 residents.
Q5
Is The Polo Greens a high social-vulnerability area?
The Polo Greens sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in The Polo Greens have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in The Polo Greens is census tract 06029003816 (score 5.2/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.2, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7
How safe is The Polo Greens for landlords?
The Polo Greens carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bakersfield as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of The Polo Greens?
The Polo Greens has 31,939 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), Hispanic / Latino (31.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
