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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally

North Shafter Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029004002 · Kern, CA · pop 4,038 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 6.3/10, tract 06029004002 in the North Shafter neighborhood of Shafter ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,038 residents. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,029 a month while the average household earns $70,255 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,073
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$70,255

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In North Shafter
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Shafter
Moderate
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#134 of 236 tracts In Kern
Moderate
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#2,728 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shafter and the region

Centroid at 35.5054, -119.2910 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Shafter scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shafter
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,029 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shafter
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shafter
7.3

How North Shafter compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Shafter risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 004002Shafter: 7.87.8Shafterparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Shafter. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Shafter

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shafter, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029004002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029004002?

Census tract 06029004002 in the North Shafter neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029004002?

Median gross rent is $1,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029004002?

13.8% of residents in tract 06029004002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,038.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029004002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 24th, minority 93th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 06029004002 considered part of North Shafter?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029004002 fall within North Shafter (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06029004002 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06029004002 compare to Shafter overall?

Tract 06029004002 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Shafter at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shafter; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shafter

Top eight tracts in Shafter ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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