Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
North Shafter Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06029004002 · Kern, CA · pop 4,038 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 06029004002 sits in the North Shafter area of Shafter, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. It is home to 4,038 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,073
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$70,255
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shafter and the region
Centroid at 35.5054, -119.2910 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Shafter scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shafter
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,029 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shafter
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shafter
7.3
How North Shafter compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Shafter. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.0%Food insecurity
- 24.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.8%Transit barriers
- 22.2%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Shafter
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.2% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,029, 18% below the Shafter average. SNAP participation runs 24.7% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.3/10.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $70,255, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Kern County average of 6.4 closely. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029004002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029004002?
Census tract 06029004002 in the North Shafter neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029004002?
Median gross rent is $1,029/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029004002?
13.8% of residents in tract 06029004002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,038.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029004002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 24th, minority 93th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 06029004002 considered part of North Shafter?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029004002 fall within North Shafter (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06029004002 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06029004002 compare to Shafter overall?
Tract 06029004002 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Shafter at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shafter; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shafter
Top eight tracts in Shafter ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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