Saint James Park Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Food insecurity runs 52.5% against 17.8% nationally. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.6/10.

89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,294, 33% below the Los Angeles average.

Set annual rent against average income of $46,806 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Disability prevalence runs 48.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.