Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

South Carthay Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037216402 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,404 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

06037216402 is a census tract in the South Carthay area of Los Angeles, CA. It scores 9.1/10 for landlords. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.1

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 37% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units1,216

Renter share85.4%

SVI overall0.43

Poverty rate8.8%

Median income$99,213

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.0612, -118.3804 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Carthay scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.8% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,536 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How South Carthay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Carthay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.0%Food insecurity
9.9%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
16.3%Frequent mental distress
25.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Carthay

Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,536 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Los Angeles commands.

Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037216402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037216402?

Census tract 06037216402 in the South Carthay neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037216402?

Median gross rent is $2,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037216402?

8.8% of residents in tract 06037216402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,404.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037216402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 9th, minority 51th, housing 57th.

Is tract 06037216402 considered part of South Carthay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037216402 fall within South Carthay (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037216402 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037216402 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037216402 scores 9.1/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037216402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.