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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Toluca Lake Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037125403 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,571 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 06037125403 covers part of the Toluca Lake area of Los Angeles, CA, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,571. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 65% Stable renters 31% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units1,526
Renter share95.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$85,956

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 22 tracts In Toluca Lake
High
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 1,117 tracts In Los Angeles
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.1630, -118.3769 · click any tract to drill in

Why Toluca Lake scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,235 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Los Angeles
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.0

How Toluca Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Toluca Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 125403Los Angeles: 9.89.8Los Angelesparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Toluca Lake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Toluca Lake

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running hot, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. At $2,235 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Los Angeles commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $85,956.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037125403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037125403?

Census tract 06037125403 in the Toluca Lake neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037125403?

Median gross rent is $2,235/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037125403?

14.2% of residents in tract 06037125403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,571.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037125403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 5th, minority 68th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 06037125403 considered part of Toluca Lake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037125403 fall within Toluca Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037125403 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037125403 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037125403 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037125403 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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