Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Van Nuys Eviction Risk: High , Los Angeles

Tract 06037128303 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,487 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06037128303 in the Van Nuys area of Los Angeles, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,487 residents. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 31% Owners 6%

Tract context

Occupied units1,144

Renter share94.3%

SVI overall0.99

Poverty rate34.1%

Median income$43,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.1831, -118.4524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Nuys scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

34.1% poverty · this tract

8.5

Supply constraint

$1,468 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How Van Nuys compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
25%Grade C
43%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Nuys. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.5%Housing insecurity
17.8%Utility-shutoff threat
46.5%Food insecurity
46.3%SNAP enrollment
22.7%Transit barriers
26.9%No health insurance
22.5%Frequent mental distress
44.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Nuys

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 46.3% against 15.2% nationally.

94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, local political climate reads 9.5/10. Cost burden runs 67% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $43,750 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.5 points above the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. Average gross rent is $1,468, 24% below the Los Angeles average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037128303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037128303?

Census tract 06037128303 in the Van Nuys neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037128303?

Median gross rent is $1,468/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037128303?

34.1% of residents in tract 06037128303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,487.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037128303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 85th, minority 89th, housing 95th.

Is tract 06037128303 considered part of Van Nuys?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037128303 fall within Van Nuys (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037128303 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037128303 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037128303 scores 9.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037128303 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 43% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.