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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally

Hollydale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Downey

Tract 06037551203 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,778 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06037551203 sits in the Hollydale area of Downey eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.6/10. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 14% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,102
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$97,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 17 tracts In Hollydale
Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 26 tracts In Downey
Elevated
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#1,793 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#4,223 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Downey and the region

Centroid at 33.9218, -118.1395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hollydale scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Downey
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,056 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Downey
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Downey
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Downey
6.4

How Hollydale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hollydale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.67.6This tracttract 551203Downey: 7.97.9Downeyparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hollydale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hollydale

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Los Angeles County average of 8.4. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

56% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,056, close to the Downey average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $97,857. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037551203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037551203?

Census tract 06037551203 in the Hollydale neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037551203?

Median gross rent is $2,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037551203?

13.0% of residents in tract 06037551203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,778.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037551203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 75th, minority 89th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 06037551203 considered part of Hollydale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037551203 fall within Hollydale (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037551203 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037551203 compare to Downey overall?

Tract 06037551203 scores 7.6/10, lower than the parent city of Downey at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Downey eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Downey

Top eight tracts in Downey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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